Holger Schmieding
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Holger Schmieding is chief economist at Berenberg Bank in London. [United Kingdom] Follow him @Berenberg_Econ

Italy and the Euro

If a radical government in Rome plunges Italy into a deep crisis, it would still be an Italian crisis — rather than a “euro“ crisis.

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Italy Versus Germany: The Real Story

The saga of a dynamic Germany and a sclerotic Italy does not reflect the historical record.

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Italy and the Yanis Varoufakis Effect

Populists in power, like Five Stars and the Lega in Italy, can do serious damage. In the case of Italy, the key risks are long-term rather than immediate.

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Macron Vs. the Germans?

What is the middle ground that both Germany and France can agree on to move economic and financial reforms in the EU forward?

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Global Trade War? The European Angle

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Though the populists have triumphed in Italy, examples show that populists often abandon their most dangerous demands and their euro scepticism in the pursuit of power.

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To advance their prospects of finding partners, both 5Star and Lega have ditched the most dangerous part of their erstwhile agenda. But significant risks remain.

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German Politics: The Limbo Is Over

With a new term for Merkel, Germany and Europe can breathe a sigh of relief.

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German Politics: What If the SPD Balks?

Even if the SPD votes against joining a new “GroKo” government, the damage which prolonged political uncertainty in Berlin would inflict on Germany and Europe would be very limited.

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Germany and Europe: A New Relationship?

If it comes to pass, Germany’s new “grand coalition” government’s EU-related plans represent progress for Macron’s calls to reform Europe.

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