The Globalist

The uncertainty around Brexit is worsening the UK migration balance with the EU. This can have negative consequences for the British labor market.

Why financial markets in 2019 may offer positive surprises, despite — and actually because of — the current wave of pessimism.

How the deep forces of British history, from royalism and classism to nationalism and imperialism, combined to trigger the Brexit moment.

The fallacy of seeking to reduce the U.S. trade deficit without raising U.S. savings rates.

Saudi Arabia’s engagement in India goes beyond strengthening its reach of India’s Muslims. It aims to reduce the Iran factor in the Indian economy.

How Turkey’s President Erdogan is seeking to expand his leadership claim in the Islamic world in India.

Canada will always be at risk of being used as a proxy as the U.S. manages internal and external conflicts.

Economists cannot say with precision when the next U.S. recession will begin. But there is no reasonable doubt that the U.S. economy will weaken in 2019.

If China has a problem, so does the global economy.

Dealing in alternate realities is a tricky business. As is often noted, predictions are hard, especially about the future.